Markets mostly consolidate this week. We look at several clues that expose a change in character this week. Probabilities and common behaviors. Lots of charts to evaluate and identify common traits as well as some exceptions.
Strong Selling continues through the last week and day of May, with breaking support levels from May, Dec. 2018, and even going back 10 years on some charts. We look at Monthly charts down to 15min. charts, to point out clues given by the markets of who is in control. Lots of charts to provide examples of common behaviors and how to extract useful clues.
Markets either Consolidate this week or continue their bearish trends lower. Index and Sector strength and weakness, conflicting market internals, and low volatility signal bearish convictions, with few clues of bullish behavior, and no signs of Fear or Panic as sector rotation continues.
Markets gap down then rally, giving clues along the way as to who is in charge. Finding 'Outliers' and sorting out 'Market Internals' that may give conflicting clues at times. Earnings reactions and follow through.
Markets dip as a minor correction stops the 2019 bull trend for a week. Volatility increases without signs of panic, but evidence of hedging activities. Rotation shows some movement towards 'safety'. Ways of finding bullish opportunities within a bearish context.
Markets continue their rally to new record highs as earnings reactions are mixed. Strong positive Jobs data overcomes earlier FOMC statements negative reactions. Bulls continue to show stronger convictions.
Markets continue their bullish trends, with pauses near all time highs. Earnings season reactions and watching behaviors near key levels. Options SKEW clues. Balancing a portfolio with both bullish and bearish positions. Earnings Volatility Crush events. Lots of charts and examples of common behaviors.
Several Markets deliver new 2019 highs and new all time highs, while other pause, or begin to pull back from 2019 highs. Earnings season reactions and using tools to be efficient with your limited time. Lots of charts to study and see examples of common behaviors.
Markets continued their pause, then gaped up on positive news stimulus, delivering new 2019 highs. Using your Imagination as a perspective tool. Market Internal indicators and Sentiment indicators. The power of using 'Alerts'.
Broad market rally continues providing new 2019 highs in many but not all indexes, sectors and stocks. Change in breadth from the prior 5 weeks, and breaks outs from prior Resistance. Finding clues from the strongest sectors and stocks.
Markets transition from quiet to volatile, as both Resistance is broken and Support is tested. Volatility expands as sellers make a showing of strength at the end of the week. Identify strongest and weakest sectors and markets, and where money is moving out of and into. Relative comparisons.
Markets bounce and recover much if not all of the prior week's losses. Identify the strongest index and sectors, high odds patterns and common market behaviors. Market Internal breadth indicators and correlations. Differences with component weighting in sectors.
Markets reverse their bull trend and break down thru resistance after a final kiss goodbye on Monday's open. Common patterns when trends reverse, possible scenarios looking forward from here. Finding Outliers that ignore the overall market trends.
Markets pause as a 10 week rally takes a break. Market breadth diminished as key Resistance levels are tested. Options become cheap as hedges are placed. Waiting for evidence of a change, and not predicting.
Markets pause again this week then resume progress on Friday. Breadth grows as some Market Internal indicators show extremes. Earnings reactions and useful clues that come from what is missing in some charts. Oil, Gold and a few stocks are making new highs. Finding Strength.
Markets resume their 'Boxing Day Rally' after a pause last week. Tuesday and Friday see surges and break outs of Resistance. Common patterns form and confirmations of the continued rally. 10 year extremes in Market Breadth changes. Stock approaching or making new all time highs.
Markets rally and find Resistance, then pull back. Overall, very little progress for this week as most trends 'pause'. The pause extends to market breadth as momentum rests. Prepare for multiple scenarios of what may occur next. Mixed earnings reactions so far.
Consolidation period ends as Resistance is broken and bullish trends resume in many, but not all sectors. Reactions to scheduled news and Earnings, vs. Unscheduled news events. Continuation vs. Reversal patterns. McClellan Summation Index extreme moves.
Markets pause as Resistance and Support are tested. Earnings season ramps up with both positive and negative reactions. News reaction behaviors and trading opportunities. Continuation vs. Reversal clues. Catching a monster. Lots of charts to see examples with.
Markets pause in their rally to test resistance, then news reactions help break that resistance as markets rally. Strong reactions to financials earnings reports this week, Oil, Gold, US Dollar, and Market Internals are evaluated to identify useful correlations. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
Markets continue their rally, then find resistance and pause for several tests of that resistance. Broad market behaviors, and clues from correlations between Price and Volume trends. Using both facts and theories while keeping them separate.
Markets are quiet the last trading day of 2018 then gap down & rally, gap down & drop, and then gap up & rally with some volatility shown this brief holiday week. VIX vs. SKEW. Percent of stocks above their 200d SMA and examples of 'break outs' are shared. A 2018 relative chart summary with clues, and a 10 year index study to keep overall market context in place.
Markets continue to drop on Monday, then a strong rally kicks in on Wednesday and Thursday on the short Holiday week. Market breadth shows most markets are moving together. Using multiple time frames. Aggressive vs. Conservative triggers pros and cons. Systematic markets not showing any Panic.
Markets drop, pause for FOMC, then continue to drop, delivering one of the largest weekly bear moves this year. Breadth increases with 'safe' sectors also being drawn into the selling mode. VIX moves up to 30%, but no signs of real 'Panic'. Steady and strong selling as the Holidays and Year End approach. Using the power of Compounding in your trading, without increasing risks.
Markets break down below support, make another failed rally, and deliver both lower lows and lower highs. Top-Down analysis, strongest and weakest sectors, news reactions. Non-trending sectors and commodities, while relatively low Volatility continues.
Markets reverse to give back a week of gains in two days. Broad selling without panic. Using Trend Lines as Technical Tools. Yield curve inversion. Lots of charts showing correlations and non-correlations. Spotting whats missing.
Markets rally most every day this week, with Wednesday acceleration after comments from Fed. Chair J. Powell. Bullish clues and aggressive Trend Change confirmation. VIX and SKEW options market studies and interpretation. Relative strength of Markets and Sectors with uncertainty still in the air.
Markets resume strong selling the first two days of this short Holiday week, then bounce and fail. We look at the breadth and weighting of the major indexes and the stocks with the most influence. Even some of the 'safe' stocks get sold off this week. Examples of why Managing Risk is so very important.
Markets continue their selling, then bounce a little to end the week mostly down as Nov options expire. Finding opportunities and trading news events. Oil drops and Nat. Gas rally. Comparing Volatility of events in the markets to identify extremes vs. 'normal'. Finding 'outliers' that ignore the overall market trends.
Post election market relief Rally forms another Bull Trap as Wednesday's gains are mostly giving back the following two days. Does a 2nd week bounce mean the correction is done? Preparing for anything. New Market Breadth study. Volatility continues.
Markets remain volatile with a drop to new lows and new Support on Monday, then a rally most of the week to recover those losses, and a head fake gap up Friday that reversed and sold back down after testing Resistance. A Down-Up-Down week as volatility continues within a bearish context. Follow up on Symmetry, and lots of examples of Support and Resistance providing areas where price behavior changes, both short term and Long term.
Bearish markets resume to bring down most all sectors this week, even as strong earnings do little to slow the descent. Volatility expands along with strong volume, as selling dominates most days. We saw two 'Bull Traps' this week. Also, two chart examples of using symmetry to find potential targets.
Markets begin the week with a pause, then broad based selling accelerates to see volatility nearing Feb levels. A study and comparison of volatile market moves over the past 20 years. What a 'climax' in selling looks like. Using the charts, correlations, and failures to navigate the markets.
Markets begin the week from where they left off from last week. Then Mid-week we see a big change, with big Bond volume, changes in the Yield Curve, and broad based selling the latter half of this week. Sector rotation and changes in leadership, exceptions, and trend changes we can study in the charts, both bullish and bearish opportunities.
Markets pause in their trends as the end of the month and quarter are digested. FOMC minuets reactions, Sector leadership and major changes in Sector Components. Dramatic economic stimulus this year as low volatility continues.
Dow and S&P deliver new record highs, Financials join in on the rotation along with Industrials and Metals that continue their rally. Tech stocks continue to pull back and consolidate. Upcoming re-organization of Market Sectors, and keeping a constructive FOCUS when trading.
Markets reverse for a minor correction within a bullish trend. Sector divergences and outliers. Yield curve flatter & historic views. Fibonacci targets deliver. Support that holds or fails. Lots of charts and examples to learn from.
This week begins with continued quiet volume and sector leadership rotation. Most markets get into sync on Friday to rally together to produce new record highs and new high closes for the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Russell 2000. The Top Down Analysis process, nested chart patterns and Outliers are among the sample charts we study this week. The Traders Paradox visited.
Markets continue their rally the first half of this week, then pause. Friday saw broad based gap down and selling, but no significant 'fear'. Protecting our Objectivity. Recognizing and changing personal bias. Market reactions to news events.
Markets begin the week with continued selling, then bounce after finding support. Thursday saw a gap down at the open and rally in most markets. Mixed leadership continues to change every few days. Earnings reactions provide more opportunities. Volatility remains low.
Markets break out to new highs, but fail to show follow-thru and begin to show signs of a reversal. Market Breadth and options Volatility add clues to the market behavior this week. Options Position Re-Entry example shared. Achieving Consistent Results.
Markets mostly in consolidation this week, with very small changes in value from the prior week. Low volatility environments, options Implied Volatility and SKEW as a Market Sentiment indicator and what could be behind the extreme in SKEW this week. Sector leadership changes as Earnings and reactions create short term opportunities.
The Nasdaq rallies to new record highs while the S&P is held back a little and the Dow is held back even more. We look at these divergences, and what could be behind them. We look FAANG stocks and their broad impact. Also we look at record levels of Stock Buy Backs and how those impact the markets in ways you may not realize. Lots of clues seen in the charts.
Markets mostly chop sideways in their consolidation ranges until breaking out late Thursday and continue on Friday, as buyers show some conviction. Strongest and weakest sectors evaluated, Market Breadth making new YTD highs, VIX returning to 'normal' and a flattening yield curve.
Markets drop a little in front of the end of the 2nd Quarter as indexes change and funds make adjustments. Breadth of the correction studied, and leadership changes observed. Stronger US dollar, increasing oil prices, dropping Gold prices and flattening yield curves. Observing messages in the charts.
Most markets pause for a bit of consolidation this week. Industrials, US Dollar and Gold a bit weaker this week. Retail and Tech leaders continue as Semiconductors fade and Utilities improve. Mixed messages about economic growth from Financials. Trade what you see and what the markets offer.
Mixed markets this week, as news events and quad witching throws a variety of catalysts at the markets. Sector rotation, Trend confirmations and changes, and ETF sector components are looked at with examples this week.
Most Indexes have Broken Out of there consolidation patterns and a few had gone on to also deliver new 2018 highs. Sector rotation shows changes in leadership this week. Examples of using Technical Analysis as a tool for guiding trading decisions. Examples of high odds patterns and the need for patience. Adapting to volatile stocks and capturing news reactions.
Markets either break out to higher highs, or remain inside consolidation. Examples of high odds patterns that often work, but not always. Sectors that provide clues, and stocks that ignore their sector trends. A mix of different sentiments this week.
Most markets remain inside consolidation in front of a three day Holiday weekend. Multiple ways to view market volatility as it has returned to 'calm'. Useful ways of using ATR studies. Trend Lines and Resistance 'Break outs' and 'Fake outs' with examples of both.
Markets consolidate this week, as F.A.A.N.G. stocks give back some gains, Oil rises to new highs, Gold drops, the US Dollar strengthens and the Russell 2000 makes new all time highs. We see some sector rotation and look at using trend lines as a way to gauge clues in the charts and price behavior changes.
Markets remain in Consolidation again this week with little net week to week change. The weak sectors continue to show weakness, a stronger dollar, new highs in Oil and strong earnings keep a mix of pressures. We saw several intra-day reversals this week. Finding some stocks that are exceptions to an over all non-trending environment.
Another week inside of consolidation with little price changes in the indexes, but with the bears flexing their convictions on Tuesday of this week. Earnings reactions not as most expected. The US Dollar strengthens as interest rates creep upwards.
Markets continue from last week's rally then reverse mid week. Some or all of the week's gains are returned the last 2 days of this week, while volatility remains stable. A different way to read the Volatility of the VIX to determine when an expanded volatility event is over. Also clues from high volume spikes in one sector this week. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
Markets remain inside consolidation patterns as Volatility slowly decreases. Markets react to Comments Monday night, and oil prices break upwards. Friday's strong earnings are met with strong selling at the open. Following leading sectors helps to improve the odds with Stocks in those sectors, when leadership changes. High odds patterns, and new opportunities found, even in tough markets.
Volatile markets continue with alternating and large range days. Prior lows are retested and some hold while other fail to provide support. Long term study of VIX and S&P corrections are evaluated with typical correlations identified. Short term trend changes with Break outs and Fake outs.
Volatility continues as broad market selling continues to test or break support. The bounce on Monday was all returned on Tuesday with a pause Wednesday before a smaller bounce on Thursday. The Quarter ends with a bearish month and elevated concerns going into the next month. High Put/Call Ratios may be a clue to a change or just quarter end Funds adjusting their Hedges. What were the Strongest Sectors and Stocks are hit hard the last two days of this quarter.
Markets break down out of consolidation with volume and breadth. Volatility expands as support breaks. Strongest and weakest sectors help to find bearish opportunities. Comparing market Volatility to prior events this year. Study some additional Market Internals and Sentiment Indicators to reveal the nature of this week's selling.
Volatility wanes as markets remain in Consolidation. Short term bear trend this week as Quad Witching effects Friday's markets that take a pause in the trends. Exposing high odds patterns and using Technical Analysis to reveal market behaviors.
Volatility fades as most markets break out of their Consolidation patterns. A study of various forms of Consolidation, and the more likely outcomes. Comparing relative strength during volatile markets and finding the strongest opportunities.
Volatility increases this week as ranges expand and two trend reversals occur. We study Trend Lines and Intra-day charts for confirmation signals. How we find the exceptions and strongest stocks within a volatile market. Reacting to faster moves while managing risks.
Market Volatility fades as mostly sideways markets persistently retest resistance. Most markets have been range bound for 6 sessions, with a few of the strongest stocks breaking out to deliver new highs. FOMC reactions on Feb 21st studied as a 'Market Internal' indicator "TICK" is introduced, explained and examples given. Stronger vs weaker sectors identified and used to find opportunities.
Volatility remains, but not as extreme as last week. Markets bounce, and their recovery this week reflects their relative strength. We look into how markets are Fractal and use multiple time frames to look at common behaviors. Strong sector leads to finding strong stocks to trade. A few of the strongest deliver new all time highs this week. Lots of chart examples to study and learn from.
Volatility has returned to the markets this week with the largest price swings and VIX levels seen in years. We also saw a quick 14 minute flash crash on Monday when the Algos took over, leaving a mess the remaining 43 minutes of the session. In the damage, we compared and identified the stronger stocks that did well this week. We also look at an example of a bearish position.
Some volatility returns to the markets with a minor correction seen with plenty of marekt breadth. Some sectors and stocks gave back all of their 2018 gains, while others held on. Spotting relative strength and weakness even in a down week. The value of having and sticking to your plan seen at work this week.
Another bullish week into the New Year. Earnings season ramping up with sympathetic reactions. US Dollar Index delivers new 3 year lows and Oil new 3 year highs as commodities react to the shrinking dollar. Market Trends and comparing various entry triggers pros and cons.
What an interesting week we just had. A 4 day Holiday week, a spike in Volatility, an opportunity for the dip buyers, pending US government shutdown, and Earnings season ramping up. Lots of interesting moves in the markets as sectors and stocks change character, or resume their trends. Also a Bonus study regarding issues with comparing relative volatility in markets. Examples of a process for finding new opportunities. Lots of chart and clues to observe.
The Bulls continue to show conviction, with lots of new all time highs being delivered most days this past week. We identify the stronger sectors and stocks, and changes since last week. A Bonus study: we explore and show examples of how some charts can give misleading impressions. Valuable chart study tips and examples help the trader determine their own objective impressions of what the market is doing and may be more likely to see next.
Large volume and breadth start out 2018 with a bang. We see both the Nasdaq and S&P deliver 4-day action not seen since the US election in Nov 2016. In addition to very low volatility and lots of new all time highs, we see increasing breadth with nearly all sectors but the small cap stocks this week. Let's explore the charts to see what we can learn from the behavior in the markets this week.
Markets were mostly quiet this holiday week and volume was light with a few exceptions. We look at how 2017 performed overall and study some of the stronger sectors this year. We saw some action with key commodities this week.
Markets start the week with a pop to deliver lots of new all time highs Monday. Most sectors drifted sideways or back down a little the remainder of the week. Two key Sector Break Outs this week, with examples to illustrate a way to identify potential trade opportunities. Several valuable methods shared.
The Markets oscillated, pull back, and then launched to new all time highs by the end of this week. Strong and weak sectors and stocks are compared, and an example of Top Down analysis exposing a trade opportunity. Learn something every day.
Markets see a minor correction and bounce this week. We compare differences in the timing and in the scope of this correction this week, and the following bounce to the close this Friday. Stronger and weaker sectors and stocks are exposed via the charts and their patterns and clues.
This week started out quiet, then major Sector Rotation began on Tuesday. We follow the volume out of some sectors and into others are November ends and December begins. Volatile reactions to various news events this week added to the market moves on Thursday and Friday. See now these kinds of events usually get absorbed. Plenty of clues provided in the charts.
We see a strong resumption of the bull trend this Holiday week, with some important changes in its character. Historic volatility levels continue. Chart examples of price behaviors, and finding clues on your own.
Mixed markets as tech strength rests and other sectors react. A Narrowing group of big leaders continues to drive these markets. Interesting Earnings reactions and chart examples of 'Gap-n-Go' and 'Gap-n-Fill' patterns. Options expiration paused many trends at the end of this week. Lots of chart examples and clues to observe.
Markets pulled back a little this week, ending a 6 to 8 week string of up weeks in the major indexes. Earnings reactions drove Gaps that gave us some examples to study. Most strong sectors remain strong, as few trends have changed. One exception that is more bearish this week we look at. Economic growth indications weaken along with momentum over the past 5 weeks. Lots of clues again seen in the charts.
The Bulls continue their run, and Tech continues to lead the way. Oil moves up as Gold and the US Dollar have stalled. Earnings and Earnings reactions continue to provide fuel, but with less velocity this week. The Homebuilders took a hit on Thursday which we look at how we reacted. Plenty of chart patterns to learn from.
Bullish trend continues with a change in leadership as Earnings Mania spake strong reactions in Big Tech that even draws in the bystanders. Chart examples and follow up on past chart patterns studied. Objectives of the Top Down market evaluation process.
Bullish trends continue in most markets, with slowing momentum in some areas and an explosive ending of this week in others as Quarterly Earnings continue. Examples of Top-Down Market Analysis used to find Opportunities early enough to capitalize on them.
Markets saw the bull rally continue this week, but with a little less momentum. Some sectors continued at their strong pace, while others paused this week. The Breadth of this rally continues to be wide, as volatility remains low. A high speed event is evaluated to find out what may have happened.
Markets continue the bullish trends, with changes in Strength and increasing Breadth. Looking at Sectors and selecting strength and opportunities. Head and Shoulders pattern example review. Example of using your imagination and thought processes to find opportunities.
The quarter ended with a flurry of bullish activity in most markets. Significant economic indicators and broad participation encouraged the bulls. Consolidation patterns and their probabilities seen with examples. Money rotation continues to the bullish side.
Mixed markets this week, with some sectors delivering new all time highs, while others remain flat, and some drop down to test for support. Second week money moving from Utilities into Industrials. Sector analysis leads us to stock selection as strength and weakness are found. Importance and purpose of Trailing Stops.
Some Markets aggressively break out from last week's consolidation while others did not. Quadruple expiration this Friday and Apple new product event Tuesday provided unique opportunities for Options traders. Examples of my favorite pattern and Objectives of learning Top-down analysis explained.