We saw several big changes in market character this week, with 'Fear' one day followed 'Exuberance' the next. Recognizing common patterns and being prepared for them to repeat more often than not can be well rewarded. Lots of charts to learn from. Enjoy.
Markets resume their Trends with opportunities for Dip Buyers. High SKEW exposing Options activities this week. Options strategies that take advantage of Implied Volatility characteristics. Clues from Breadth exposing some divergences in the markets. Lots of charts to Study.
DIVERGENCE is Back. We saw a continuation this week up until the Fed showed up and added some Volatility. Warnings signs seen from the Options Markets with SKEW and VVIX, and from market Breadth indicators. Common chart Patterns and their Probabilities of affecting Trends. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
Markets continue their pause for an 8th week. We identify trending sectors and stocks within a non-trending market context. The charts help expose 'Mob' behaviors and changes in Leadership. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
Markets continue to 'Pause' near their prior highs. A few Sectors and 'Outlier' stocks seem to ignore the Indexes as they do their own thing. Using the market pause period to find opportunities. Using tools to help avoid missing break outs. Lots of charts and examples to study.
Markets continue to pause most longer term trends as leadership changes hands. We look at constructing Trend Lines and defining rules and purpose of their use. Common Chart behaviors to recognize and use in trading. Lots of examples to L-earn from.
Markets continue to pause near their new highs for a 3rd week. Earnings events see mixed reactions. Some of the useful features of my Dual ATR study that can help with various trading decisions. Lots of charts and examples to study.
The Markets have resolved and are back in normal Convergence with some key observations about Money Cycling out of some sectors and into others. Probabilities of Continuation vs. Reversal of Trends. Weighting of a few big names and their impact. Lots of chart examples to study.
The Divided markets continue and then show us clues of resolving late this week. Reviewing long term charts for market context. Finding clues in the charts that help identify changes as they occur. Lots of charts to L-earn from.
Divided markets continue to show their split personality. Monitoring Sectors strength and weakness. Noting failures as clues. Defining your Risk/Reward/Probability Trade-Offs. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
Markets accelerate their selling, then reverse. Finding clues of changes in Trends. Clues found in the Treasuries and the VVIX. Sectors that remain strong and deliver higher highs this week, even in a mostly bearish context. Lots of charts and examples to study.
We saw selling accelerate this week as volatility expanded. Not much change in sector leadership this week. We analyze some very strong selling events seen this week down to 1 min. charts. Lots of clues to pay attention to. Enjoy.
Markets resume their rally to deliver more new all time highs, but with less momentum as leadership changes. Finding clues in the charts using simple comparisons to identify changes in leadership. Volatility reaches a new low in nearly one year.
Markets briefly deliver new record highs, then experience strong selling. Breadth and momentum analysis of this week's change in behavior. Sector stocks and their weighting in ETFs. Significant increase in Volatility. Different clues for a 'Liquidation' break vs a Rotation into Safety.
Markets resume their rally to deliver new record highs. Sector leadership changes as money flows out of some sectors and into others. Recognizing the impact of the size of companies on indexes. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
Markets pause while some sectors continue higher and others exhibit increased weakness. Volatility measurements that provide forward looking clues. Tips for recognizing and trading common patterns. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
The Rally continues after a brief correction. Using Volume, Implied Volatility and Market Cap. to expose clues seen in the markets. An example of using Fibonacci Extensions. Climax warning signs. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
Markets continued their rally with some changes in leadership during the Holiday week. We look at long term charts (15yrs) as well as comparisons to identify leadership in 2020. Money Supply and its affects in the markets. Lots of Charts to study and L-earn from. Enjoy.
Some markets continue their rally while others 'pause' this Holiday week. Using comparison charts to see Divergences or changes in character. Typical Market reactions to News events. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
Markets resume their rally, delivering new record highs. 'Sentiment' Indicators like SKEW, and Technical Indicators like Fibonacci Extensions, knowing how to use them as well as more importantly how NOT to use them. Lots of charts and examples to L-earn from.
Markets continue their trends, then are interrupted with a 'Liquidation Break'. Confirmation and using the VVIX 'Sentiment' Indicator. Making note of what is NOT seen. Lots of charts and examples to study.
Markets continue their rally while some key stocks pause and consolidate. Follow the money as a new Month begins and Fund managers re-balance their portfolios. Correlations with Oil and Energy continue while other correlations break. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
Markets pause after making major moves and both positive and negative News is digested. Identify rotation out of some instruments and into other stocks and sectors. Changes to a major Index as Volatility declines as uncertainty persists.
Markets rally with conviction as both normal and abnormal behavior is observed. Changes in breadth are mixed as are reactions to the US Election. Lots of interesting behaviors to analyze in the charts. Remaining Objective while adapting to changing conditions.
Markets sell off with Earnings reactions and lots of uncertainty in an elevated Volatility environment. Finding clues within the data to expose market reactions and sector rotation. Lots of charts to show examples of key concepts and clues.
Markets pause as volatility remains elevated. Earnings season ramps up with mixed reactions so far. A way to observe evidence of Hedging activity by large fund managers. Lots of charts and examples to learn from.
Markets alternate between rally and sell off, with gaps as volatility remains elevated. We look at different types of Gaps, with multiple samples this week seen in the charts. Daily changes in leadership while we also see exceptions that continue to remain in their own trend.
Markets change to rally mode early or late this week. Leadership changes are identified to the day they switch. Volatility continues to be elevated as uncertainty underpins the markets. What to do when patterns fail.
Market selling resumes and searches for Support. Analysis methods to identify strength within a bearish context. Clues from abnormal VIX behaviors, SKEW and other Market Internals. Finding Clues from what is not seen. Lots of charts and examples to L-earn from.
Markets continue their rally until a climax with breadth, then Sellers step in with strong convictions. Warnings and clues from the VIX. Identifying the Leaders and Laggards. Multiple methods to compare relative strength.
Markets resume the bull rally as breadth increases and many new record highs are delivered. Changes in the Dow Industrials and how they are adjusted. Stock splits. Clues from the charts as evidence shows Money Flow out of some sectors and into others. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
The Divergences in the markets expand as both the Nasdaq and S&P deliver new all time highs. We identify the leaders and the growing divergence they are creating. Stock Split reactions and using creative Technical Analysis tools. Lots of charts and nuggets to L-earn from.
Markets resume their rally as more new all time highs are delivered. Clues that expose the leaders and laggards and changes. Some common consolidation patterns. Divergence in Advance Decline data. Breadth changes late this week. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
Another week with a Rally to new highs and a reversal to deliver losses for the week. Sorting out the leaders and laggards. Earnings reactions. Confirming Support and Resistance. Improving your odds by trading with the Trend.
Markets Diverge as more stocks deliver new all time highs. Breadth is reduced as money flows out of small cap growth and into big tech. Using creative ways to measure divergences and changes in leadership. Lots of charts and analysis to expose concentration risks. Enjoy.
The Divergence continues with a few names doing most of the heavy lifting. Definitions for Trends, confirmations, and variations. Market weighting impacts where size matters. Lots of charts to study and L-earn from.
Markets see bearish convictions increase as selling strengthens. Identifying Divergences, correlations and non-correlations. Finding a few bullish outliers within a crowd of bears. A common sequence of clues found during a change in trend. Lots of chart examples to learn from.
Markets pause as 'Leadership' exposes itself. Using various Comparison studies to identify leadership, similarities and differences. Using clues to improve your odds. Trading with the Trend and buying dips upon confirmation. Lots of charts to provide examples of key price behaviors.
Markets deliver record highs just before experiencing a volatile correction. Clues seen in the charts before the correction this week. Recognizing normal and abnormal market correlations. Changes in Trends, confirmations and timing. Lots of chart examples to study.
Markets gap higher on news, then pause near higher highs for much of the week as volume fades. Identify leaders and strength where there are diverse reactions to news events. Using Futures action overnight to help identify clues. Lots of chart examples and some new record highs.
The bounce Rally continues Monday followed by a 2-day violent reversal. Clues from comparing reactions and from what is NOT seen in charts. Opportunities for both the bears and bulls. Lots of charts to study.
The bounce rally takes a pause this week and markets react to news events. Broad based reactions on Tuesday and Thursday. Keeping the market Context in mind. Expanded Volatility impacting Options and Earnings reactions.
The bounce rally continues with a few large stocks leading the way. Comparisons help identify the leadership while market weighting shows their significance. A brief divergence is resolved on Friday. Lots of charts and examples to study.
After a pause, the bounce rally resumes with Volatility. Clues from changes in sector leadership and Breadth. Making relative comparisons to identify leadership. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
Volatility contracts only a little as markets acclimate to high uncertainty levels. No strong showing by either the bulls or bears this week, but clues are exposed as Resistance from last week is confirmed this week. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
Volatility continues as markets both deliver lower lows and the strongest bounce seen in 6 weeks. Support, Resistance, and using key clues from the charts to identify changing probabilities of future moves.
We saw a violent week and correction this week as the Oct. rally came to an end. Lots of great examples this week of signs of Fear changed into Panic as this week progressed. Many clues seen of the change in behavior this week. Plus a Bonus section that looks back at 90 years of market history of Volatility Events. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
The bullish trend continues and delivers new record highs this week. Selling reactions to news late this week cause most stocks to end this week lower. Finding clues from market 'Context' and Relative price behavior.
The Oct. rally RETURNS. The rumor of its ending was premature. A Great example of how Changes in Trends are 'Relative'. Also, a classic example of the power of Fear and Frenzy, buying and selling and TSLA mania. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
The Oct. rally appears to be done with multiple confirmations this week on our daily charts. How Trend Changes are relative to diff. time frames. Developing consistency. Multiple Indications of Expanded Volatility. Correlations and Non-Correlations. Lots of charts to study.
The rally continues with more new all time highs. Sellers showed up on Friday to provide a one day strong correction. Key indicators that help identify when a change in trend occurs or support is broken. Looking for consistent behavior vs. changes in market behavior. Both bullish and bearish chart examples to study.
The rally continues with many more new All Time Highs. Indicators to confirm the end of a Trend. Trailing Stops. Clues from the Futures markets and clues of a 'Climax'. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
The rally continues and shakes off news events this week as if nothing has happened. Breadth is mostly unchanged as big Tech continues to drive markets and volume. Identifying changes in Trend, and using proper Time Frames to reduce the noise. Lots of charts to learn from.
Markets continue to deliver higher highs and higher lows this week, but fail to deliver a higher weekly Close. A minor pause vs. a change of Trend. Low volatility and narrowing Breadth. Developing key skills to future proof your trading strategies.
Markets continue to rally and deliver record highs. Breadth and Volume reveal the narrow participation in this rally. Makets show no few, with mostly complacency. Being prepared for multiple possibilities.
The rally continues to deliver new record highs. Breadth continues to be limited and volatility is near 2019 lows. Observing market reactions to news events. Using a Top-Down approach for efficient use of time.
The multiple month consolidation pattern Breaks. Sector Rotation and clues that show the Bulls have the stronger convictions this week. Examples of Cup-n-Handle pattern variations, and Symmetrical Targets examined. Remaining Objective and actively looking for confirmation. Earnings and uncertainty continue while Volatility is near 2019 lows.
Markets continue to be quiet when not reacting to 'News'. Consolidation continues, with light volume and low Volatility. Darvas Boxes, Cup-and-Handles, and Support & Resistance examples and common behaviors characterized.
Markets gap higher on insignificant news. Break out of the 'box' and reduced Volatility. Beginning of a rally, or a fake out? Gathering 'Risk off' vs. 'Risk on' clues. Comparisons to identify changes in leadership. Allowing monsters to appear.
Markets remain volatile with tests of both support and resistance. Finding clues by comparing chart patterns. Adapting to changing market conditions. Deciphering clues from Moving Averages and a 'Value Box'.
Market Volatility continues, with wild reactions after 4 quiet days. Finding clues in the charts. Key levels of Support and Resistance. Gauging behaviors of price. Lots of charts and examples to study and learn from. Finding outliers.
Volatility continues as markets drop looking for support. 2 ways to measure Volatility. Common wave patterns. Measuring relative changes to expose useful clues. Hammer candlestick. Lots of chart examples, finding opportunities in volatile markets.
Markets react, reverse, volatility expands and the largest down week of the year is delivered. Lots of evidence in the charts to show the changes this week. Tools to use to prepare in advance for multiple possibilities. Thinking like a pro.
Markets resume their rally after a brief pause and deliver new record highs. Recognizing correlations and non-correlations as clues. Using Intra-day market clues. Recognizing 'Outliers' and opportunities.
The bull rally resumes during a shortened Holiday week. A number of indexes and stocks deliver new record All Time Highs. Normal verses abnormal volume during a Holiday week. Tools to help catch opportunities that could be otherwise easily missed.
The minor correction we saw begin late last week, continued this week, then reversed. We look at multiple clues and ways to observe this 'change' in character unfold this week. Evaluating relative performance. Lots of chart examples to learn from and practice your skills.
Markets mostly consolidate this week. We look at several clues that expose a change in character this week. Probabilities and common behaviors. Lots of charts to evaluate and identify common traits as well as some exceptions.
Strong Selling continues through the last week and day of May, with breaking support levels from May, Dec. 2018, and even going back 10 years on some charts. We look at Monthly charts down to 15min. charts, to point out clues given by the markets of who is in control. Lots of charts to provide examples of common behaviors and how to extract useful clues.
Markets either Consolidate this week or continue their bearish trends lower. Index and Sector strength and weakness, conflicting market internals, and low volatility signal bearish convictions, with few clues of bullish behavior, and no signs of Fear or Panic as sector rotation continues.
Markets gap down then rally, giving clues along the way as to who is in charge. Finding 'Outliers' and sorting out 'Market Internals' that may give conflicting clues at times. Earnings reactions and follow through.
Markets dip as a minor correction stops the 2019 bull trend for a week. Volatility increases without signs of panic, but evidence of hedging activities. Rotation shows some movement towards 'safety'. Ways of finding bullish opportunities within a bearish context.
Markets continue their rally to new record highs as earnings reactions are mixed. Strong positive Jobs data overcomes earlier FOMC statements negative reactions. Bulls continue to show stronger convictions.
Markets continue their bullish trends, with pauses near all time highs. Earnings season reactions and watching behaviors near key levels. Options SKEW clues. Balancing a portfolio with both bullish and bearish positions. Earnings Volatility Crush events. Lots of charts and examples of common behaviors.
Several Markets deliver new 2019 highs and new all time highs, while other pause, or begin to pull back from 2019 highs. Earnings season reactions and using tools to be efficient with your limited time. Lots of charts to study and see examples of common behaviors.
Markets continued their pause, then gaped up on positive news stimulus, delivering new 2019 highs. Using your Imagination as a perspective tool. Market Internal indicators and Sentiment indicators. The power of using 'Alerts'.
Broad market rally continues providing new 2019 highs in many but not all indexes, sectors and stocks. Change in breadth from the prior 5 weeks, and breaks outs from prior Resistance. Finding clues from the strongest sectors and stocks.
Markets transition from quiet to volatile, as both Resistance is broken and Support is tested. Volatility expands as sellers make a showing of strength at the end of the week. Identify strongest and weakest sectors and markets, and where money is moving out of and into. Relative comparisons.
Markets bounce and recover much if not all of the prior week's losses. Identify the strongest index and sectors, high odds patterns and common market behaviors. Market Internal breadth indicators and correlations. Differences with component weighting in sectors.
Markets reverse their bull trend and break down thru resistance after a final kiss goodbye on Monday's open. Common patterns when trends reverse, possible scenarios looking forward from here. Finding Outliers that ignore the overall market trends.
Markets pause as a 10 week rally takes a break. Market breadth diminished as key Resistance levels are tested. Options become cheap as hedges are placed. Waiting for evidence of a change, and not predicting.
Markets pause again this week then resume progress on Friday. Breadth grows as some Market Internal indicators show extremes. Earnings reactions and useful clues that come from what is missing in some charts. Oil, Gold and a few stocks are making new highs. Finding Strength.
Markets resume their 'Boxing Day Rally' after a pause last week. Tuesday and Friday see surges and break outs of Resistance. Common patterns form and confirmations of the continued rally. 10 year extremes in Market Breadth changes. Stock approaching or making new all time highs.
Markets rally and find Resistance, then pull back. Overall, very little progress for this week as most trends 'pause'. The pause extends to market breadth as momentum rests. Prepare for multiple scenarios of what may occur next. Mixed earnings reactions so far.
Consolidation period ends as Resistance is broken and bullish trends resume in many, but not all sectors. Reactions to scheduled news and Earnings, vs. Unscheduled news events. Continuation vs. Reversal patterns. McClellan Summation Index extreme moves.
Markets pause as Resistance and Support are tested. Earnings season ramps up with both positive and negative reactions. News reaction behaviors and trading opportunities. Continuation vs. Reversal clues. Catching a monster. Lots of charts to see examples with.
Markets pause in their rally to test resistance, then news reactions help break that resistance as markets rally. Strong reactions to financials earnings reports this week, Oil, Gold, US Dollar, and Market Internals are evaluated to identify useful correlations. Lots of charts to study and learn from.
Markets continue their rally, then find resistance and pause for several tests of that resistance. Broad market behaviors, and clues from correlations between Price and Volume trends. Using both facts and theories while keeping them separate.
Markets are quiet the last trading day of 2018 then gap down & rally, gap down & drop, and then gap up & rally with some volatility shown this brief holiday week. VIX vs. SKEW. Percent of stocks above their 200d SMA and examples of 'break outs' are shared. A 2018 relative chart summary with clues, and a 10 year index study to keep overall market context in place.
Markets continue to drop on Monday, then a strong rally kicks in on Wednesday and Thursday on the short Holiday week. Market breadth shows most markets are moving together. Using multiple time frames. Aggressive vs. Conservative triggers pros and cons. Systematic markets not showing any Panic.
Markets drop, pause for FOMC, then continue to drop, delivering one of the largest weekly bear moves this year. Breadth increases with 'safe' sectors also being drawn into the selling mode. VIX moves up to 30%, but no signs of real 'Panic'. Steady and strong selling as the Holidays and Year End approach. Using the power of Compounding in your trading, without increasing risks.
Markets break down below support, make another failed rally, and deliver both lower lows and lower highs. Top-Down analysis, strongest and weakest sectors, news reactions. Non-trending sectors and commodities, while relatively low Volatility continues.
Markets reverse to give back a week of gains in two days. Broad selling without panic. Using Trend Lines as Technical Tools. Yield curve inversion. Lots of charts showing correlations and non-correlations. Spotting whats missing.
Markets rally most every day this week, with Wednesday acceleration after comments from Fed. Chair J. Powell. Bullish clues and aggressive Trend Change confirmation. VIX and SKEW options market studies and interpretation. Relative strength of Markets and Sectors with uncertainty still in the air.
Markets resume strong selling the first two days of this short Holiday week, then bounce and fail. We look at the breadth and weighting of the major indexes and the stocks with the most influence. Even some of the 'safe' stocks get sold off this week. Examples of why Managing Risk is so very important.
Markets continue their selling, then bounce a little to end the week mostly down as Nov options expire. Finding opportunities and trading news events. Oil drops and Nat. Gas rally. Comparing Volatility of events in the markets to identify extremes vs. 'normal'. Finding 'outliers' that ignore the overall market trends.
Post election market relief Rally forms another Bull Trap as Wednesday's gains are mostly giving back the following two days. Does a 2nd week bounce mean the correction is done? Preparing for anything. New Market Breadth study. Volatility continues.
Markets remain volatile with a drop to new lows and new Support on Monday, then a rally most of the week to recover those losses, and a head fake gap up Friday that reversed and sold back down after testing Resistance. A Down-Up-Down week as volatility continues within a bearish context. Follow up on Symmetry, and lots of examples of Support and Resistance providing areas where price behavior changes, both short term and Long term.
Bearish markets resume to bring down most all sectors this week, even as strong earnings do little to slow the descent. Volatility expands along with strong volume, as selling dominates most days. We saw two 'Bull Traps' this week. Also, two chart examples of using symmetry to find potential targets.
Volatility remains, but not as extreme as last week. Markets bounce, and their recovery this week reflects their relative strength. We look into how markets are Fractal and use multiple time frames to look at common behaviors. Strong sector leads to finding strong stocks to trade. A few of the strongest deliver new all time highs this week. Lots of chart examples to study and learn from.
Volatility has returned to the markets this week with the largest price swings and VIX levels seen in years. We also saw a quick 14 minute flash crash on Monday when the Algos took over, leaving a mess the remaining 43 minutes of the session. In the damage, we compared and identified the stronger stocks that did well this week. We also look at an example of a bearish position.
Some volatility returns to the markets with a minor correction seen with plenty of marekt breadth. Some sectors and stocks gave back all of their 2018 gains, while others held on. Spotting relative strength and weakness even in a down week. The value of having and sticking to your plan seen at work this week.